The rule of multiplication principle (also
called the rule of products) is the basic rule of counting: When there
are different events that
are independent of each other, if there are
possible outcomes for
the first event,
possible outcomes for
the second event, …, and
possible outcomes for
the k-th event, then the total number of possible outcomes is
Let’s use a simple coin-tossing example and a tree diagram to
explain the rule of multiplication. When we toss a fair coin, we get either a Head
(H) or a Tail (T). If we toss a coin three times, what are the possible
outcomes? As shown in Figure 3‑1, we have two possible outcomes for the
first coin toss (H or T). For each outcome after the first toss, we get two
possible outcomes with the second coin toss: H becomes HH or HT, and T becomes
TH or TT. For each outcome after the second toss, we also get two possible
outcomes with the third coin toss, which brings the total number of outcomes to
Figure 3‑1 Tree diagram for the rule of multiplication
Sometimes events happen over multiple steps, and the number of possible outcomes[10] of later steps may depend on the outcomes of earlier steps. We can use the generalized rule of multiplication: Let S be a set of length-k steps. If there are:
Then there are a total of possible outcomes. The
key difference is that each step does not need to be independent. For example,
a chess club of 50 members needs to elect a president and a vice president. In
the first step, we choose the president, and there are 50 possible outcomes. In
the second step, we choose the vice president from the remaining 49 members,
and the number of possible outcomes is reduced to 49. The total number of
possible outcomes is
.
The generalized rule of multiplication is related to a key
concept in counting called permutations. When we choose r objects
from a group of n distinguishable objects sequentially, the ordered
subset is called a permutation. For example, if we select 3 numbers from sequentially,
is one permutation and
is a
different permutation as the order is different. In the chess club example, the
order also matters. The outcome that A is elected president and B is elected
vice president is different from the outcome that B is elected president and A
is elected vice president.
The number of permutations is denoted as and
can be calculated as
Let’s use the rule of multiplication and the number of permutations to solve some counting problems.
Problem 3‑1
Part A. If a tiny library has 6 different books on a shelf. Each day a student randomly chooses a book to read, how many possible outcomes do we get after 6 days?
Part B. In how many ways can we arrange 6 different books on a shelf?
Solution:
In part A, since we have 6 possible outcomes each day and there are 6
independent steps, the total number of possible outcomes is .
In part B, let’s arrange the books from left to right. There
are again 6 steps in our selection. Unlike the steps in part A, each step is no
longer independent. In the first step, there are 6 possible outcomes as we can
choose one of the 6 books. In the second step, there are 5 possible outcomes as
there are 5 books left. In the third step, there are 4 possible outcomes as
there are 4 books left. Similarly, in the fourth, the fifth, and the sixth
step, there are 3, 2, 1 possible outcome(s), respectively. Therefore, the
number of possible arrangements is
The difference between these two problems lies in sampling with or without replacement. When we sample with replacement, each step is independent. If we begin with n choices, each step has n choices. What happens in one step has no impact on what happens in the next step. When we sample without replacement, each step is no longer independent. If we have n choices in the first step, we only have n-1 choices left in the second step.
Problem 3‑2
How many integers between 1 and 1000 (inclusive) do not contain the digit 8?
Solution:
We can express integers between 0 and 999 as where
and
are
single digits
For example, we express 71
as
. There are 10 choices
each for
and
If
the integer does not contain the digit 8, there are 9 choices each for
and
Among
the 1000 integers between 0 and 999, there are
numbers that do not
contain the digit 8. We need to exclude 0 and add 1000 back since we are counting
the integers between 1 and 1000 that do not contain the digit 8. Therefore, the
number of integers between 1 and 1000 that do not contain the digit 8 is 729.
Problem 3‑3
A bookshelf has 4 math books, 3 chemistry books, and 2 biology books. They are all different.
Part A. How many ways can we arrange the books on the shelf if all chemistry books need to be kept together?
Part B. How many ways can we arrange the books on the shelf if all chemistry books need to be kept together and all biology books need to be kept together?
Solution:
In part A, since we need to keep all the chemistry books together, let’s first
treat all 3 chemistry books as 1 super chemistry book and arrange the super
chemistry book with 4 math books and 2 biology
books. There are possible permutations.
Within the super chemistry book, we can arrange 3 chemistry books in
possible
ways. Therefore, the total number of ways is
We can apply the same logic to part B. Now there is 1 super
chemistry book, 1 super biology book, and 4 math books. There are possible
permutation. Within the super chemistry book, there are
permutations;
within the super biology book, there are
permutations. Therefore,
the total number of ways is
General
Rule: When using permutations, if a subgroup of elements needs to
stay together, they essentially become one element in the permutation with
other elements. If the elements in the subset are indistinguishable, no
additional multiplication is needed. If they are distinguishable, we need to multiply
the number by the permutations within the group, which is
[10] A number of synonyms are used in the context of counting: outcome and possibility are synonyms; arrangement and permutation are synonyms; distinct, distinguishable and different are synonyms; indistinguishable, alike, and equivalent are synonyms; disjoint, mutually exclusive, and non-overlapping are synonyms; item and object are synonyms.